Model accuracy

How the model performs vs bookmaker lines

Games tracked
84
Model MAE
16.1 pts
BM MAE
15.6 pts
Model mean error
+0.2
Divergence hit rate
67%
34/51 (8+ gap games)
Model vs BM mean
BM better
Recent results 50 shown
Date Game Model BM Actual Error
2026-04-18 Cleveland Ca vs Toronto Rapt 233.8 213.5 239 +5.2 🔥
2026-04-18 Denver Nugge vs Minnesota Ti 236.6 223.5 221 -15.6 🔥
2026-04-18 New York Kni vs Atlanta Hawk 233.9 213.5 215 -18.9 🔥
2026-04-18 Los Angeles vs Houston Rock 232.0 199.5 205 -27.0 🔥
2026-04-17 Orlando Magi vs Charlotte Ho 227.8 213.5 211 -16.8 🔥
2026-04-17 Phoenix Suns vs Golden State 226.3 213.5 207 -19.3 🔥
2026-04-17 Zalgiris Kau vs Paris 168.0 167.5 164 -4.0
2026-04-17 Monaco vs Hapoel Tel A 174.2 167.5 190 +15.8
2026-04-17 Dubai vs Valencia 180.8 170.5 180 -0.8 🔥
2026-04-17 Panathinaiko vs Anadolu Efes 171.7 161.5 159 -12.7 🔥
2026-04-17 Barcelona vs Bayern 173.1 157.5 164 -9.1 🔥
2026-04-16 Lyon-Villeur vs Fenerbahce 174.4 157.5 157 -17.4 🔥
2026-04-16 Maccabi Tel vs Virtus Bolog 179.8 169.5 174 -5.8 🔥
2026-04-16 Olympiacos vs Olimpia Mila 178.0 164.5 161 -17.0 🔥
2026-04-16 Partizan Moz vs Baskonia 175.2 166.5 170 -5.2 🔥
2026-04-16 Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezd 172.8 164.5 185 +12.2 🔥
2026-04-15 Philadelphia vs Orlando Magi 233.2 213.5 206 -27.2 🔥
2026-04-15 Los Angeles vs Golden State 227.5 213.5 247 +19.5 🔥
2026-04-15 Keflavik vs Valur 186.0 169.5 169 -17.0 🔥
2026-04-14 Al Muharraq vs Al Manama 164.7 152.5 172 +7.3 🔥
2026-04-14 Njardvik vs Grindavik 183.2 179.5 175 -8.2
2026-04-12 Boston Celti vs Orlando Magi 229.9 213.5 221 -8.9 🔥
2026-04-12 Cleveland Ca vs Washington W 236.0 228.5 247 +11.0
2026-04-12 Indiana Pace vs Detroit Pist 228.1 223.5 254 +25.9
2026-04-12 Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawk 239.9 234.5 260 +20.1
2026-04-12 New York Kni vs Charlotte Ho 227.0 213.5 206 -21.0 🔥
2026-04-12 Philadelphia vs Milwaukee Bu 224.7 219.5 232 +7.3
2026-04-12 Toronto Rapt vs Brooklyn Net 223.8 213.5 237 +13.2 🔥
2026-04-12 Dallas Maver vs Chicago Bull 233.9 239.5 277 +43.1
2026-04-12 Houston Rock vs Memphis Griz 231.5 219.5 233 +1.5 🔥
2026-04-12 Los Angeles vs Golden State 228.8 216.5 225 -3.8 🔥
2026-04-12 Los Angeles vs Utah Jazz 232.1 228.5 238 +5.9
2026-04-12 Minnesota Ti vs New Orleans 229.8 229.5 258 +28.2
2026-04-12 Oklahoma Cit vs Phoenix Suns 229.7 213.5 238 +8.3 🔥
2026-04-12 Portland Tra vs Sacramento K 225.9 219.5 232 +6.1
2026-04-12 San Antonio vs Denver Nugge 243.7 226.5 246 +2.3 🔥
2026-04-12 Maccabi Tel vs Hapoel Tel-A 176.1 172.5 187 +10.9
2026-04-10 Charlotte Ho vs Detroit Pist 225.7 214.5 218 -7.7 🔥
2026-04-10 Washington W vs Miami Heat 232.2 235.5 257 +24.8
2026-04-10 Atlanta Hawk vs Cleveland Ca 232.5 224.5 226 -6.5 🔥
2026-04-10 Boston Celti vs New Orleans 223.5 215.5 262 +38.5 🔥
2026-04-10 Indiana Pace vs Philadelphia 230.9 223.5 199 -31.9
2026-04-10 New York Kni vs Toronto Rapt 224.0 213.5 207 -17.0 🔥
2026-04-10 San Antonio vs Dallas Maver 231.3 226.5 259 +27.7
2026-04-10 Chicago Bull vs Orlando Magi 229.7 234.5 230 +0.3
2026-04-10 Milwaukee Bu vs Brooklyn Net 223.4 213.5 233 +9.6 🔥
2026-04-10 Denver Nugge vs Oklahoma Cit 232.7 214.5 234 +1.3 🔥
2026-04-10 Houston Rock vs Minnesota Ti 228.8 213.5 268 +39.2 🔥
2026-04-10 Utah Jazz vs Memphis Griz 242.7 238.5 248 +5.3
2026-04-10 Portland Tra vs Los Angeles 222.3 216.5 213 -9.3